Buyback Radar

Aquarius Stellar AQUA

Sell signal activeRank#44in Low payout▼1Score22

Sell signal since Nov 7. REV30 fell to 0.5× of the previous 30 days; REV ratio 0.8×, HR ratio 0.8×. Still open: gradual decline over 30 days still holds. See Signals.

Dexs, Stellar, 192 days of data

Low payout: less than $100k to holders in 30 days, or payouts on fewer than 8 of the 30 days (for a token that pays in cycles of a week or longer: more than one of the payouts its cycle predicts missed); ranked within this group

Active signals 1

  • Sell signalsince Nov 7

    Revenue over 30 days $58k, about half the 30 days before ($119k).

    Gradual decline over 30 days: revenue this week $11k, 0.8× the week before, paid to holders 0.8× the week before. Still open: gradual decline over 30 days still holds.

Market cap

$10.8M

price $0.000243 · 7d −13.6% · 30d −26.5%

FDV $24.2M (2.2× market cap)

source defillama

Counted per year

$257k

holders revenue of the last 30 days, $58k, × 365 ÷ 30, × type factor 0.366525 (payouts to vote lockers count 37%)

ve / bribesbuyback share 100%

Pays out 6.5% of its market cap a year, using 100¢ of every $1 it earns.

Not a buyback: counts for 37% in the multiple (type factor 0.366525), so the denominator is $257k instead of $701k.

Multiple

42.2×

peer median 23.3× (Dexs, 14 tokens), against 42.2× here

Run-rate

51.4×

last 7 days $11k × 52 × 0.37 (type factor) = $211k a year

last week's payout in line with the 30-day pace

What we checked

  1. Valuation

    Multiple 42.2× (type factor 0.366525: payouts to vote lockers count 37%), 1.8× more expensive than its Dexs peers (median 23.3×, 14 tokens). The group's largest earner Uniswap trades at 37.3×: 1.1× dearer per dollar returned to holders. On total revenue: 15.5×, in line with the revenue peer median.

  2. Distribution

    ve / bribes: Includes bribes and vote incentives from third parties paid to vote-escrow lockers; no buy pressure on the token. Holders got $58k of $58k revenue in 30 days → buyback share 100%. DefiLlama: “External Bribes Revenue: External bribes rewards distributed to AQUA holders”

  3. Sustainability

    Holders were paid on 30 of 30 days (100%); largest single day 7% of the month's holders revenue; paid to holders this week: 32% of the best week in 90 days (more than half below peak). Revenue −17% over 7 days and −52% over 30 days, price −26% over 30 days.

What this does not tell you

The figures come from DefiLlama's adapter for each child protocol. Only a few tokens have an on-chain check (see How the buyback really works); for the rest, whether the tokens were really bought, burned or parked in a treasury wallet is not checked here. Unlocks count where DefiLlama or our research has a vesting schedule; team discretion and liquidity depth only once researched.

Flags

  • Sell signalactive since Nov 7; REV30 fell to 0.5× of the previous 30 days; REV ratio 0.8×, HR ratio 0.8×. Still open: gradual decline over 30 days still holds. See Signals
  • Payout >50% below peakthis week's holders revenue is 32% of its best week in the last 90 days ($34k)
  • Data issue: chain mapping missingData issue (chain mapping missing): warning, scores are computed as usual

How the buyback really works

Not researched yet. Everything above comes from DefiLlama and market data only.

Holders revenue / revenue (30d)
$58k / $58k
last 30 closed days
To holders
Pays out 6.5% of its market cap a year
FDV / dilution
$24.2M / 2.2×
FDV ÷ market cap
Price 7d / 30d
−13.6% / −26.5%
Revenue growth 7d / 30d
−17% / −52%
versus the period before
Divergence
0.00
revenue growth minus price growth, 30d
DEX liquidity
—
trades mainly on exchanges
24h volume
$125k
all markets, CoinGecko
Unlocks 30d
—
no unlock schedule for this token
Revenue multiple
15.5×
market cap ÷ revenue per year
Fee multiple
10.5×
market cap ÷ fees per year
Distance to peak
32%
this week ÷ best week of 90 days
Data since
May 4
first day with holders revenue

Holders revenue and price

Holders revenue per day7-day averagePrice (right axis)▲ ▼ signal days (history below)

Multiple over time

today 42.2× (scored) · peer median 23.3×

Market cap at close ÷ (holders revenue of the previous 30 days × 365 ÷ 30), with holders revenue capped at revenue and × the type factor: the same effective multiple as the peer median. Values above 100× are drawn at the top. Bands as on the meter; dashed line = peer median today.

Signal history

Signal history of this token: date, type, price at the signal, price after 7 and 30 days, change since the signal and the outcome
DateSignalPrice thenAfter 7dAfter 30dSinceOutcome
November 8, 2026Sell signalactive$0.000252——−4%30-day check: day 4

Versus peers

Dexs · 14 tokens · median multiple 23.3× · Uniswap is valued 341.9× higher. Per dollar that counts for holders, Aquarius Stellar is 1.1× dearer.

Main-ranking peers only. Multiples count holders revenue capped at revenue, × the type factor (buyback 1 · buyback + burn 1 · burn 0.75 · mixed 0.75 · distribution 0.5 · unclear 0.5 · ve-distribution 0.25).

This token against its main-ranking peers: multiple, revenue multiple, buyback share, holders revenue, market cap and revenue growth
TokenDistributionMultipleRevenue multipleBuyback shareTo holders 30dMarket capRev. growth 30d
Pharaoh Exchangeve / bribes0.3×0.2×100%$1.3M$2.6M−52%
RamsesXMixed0.7×0.5×97%$368k$2.2M+8%
nestDistribution0.8×0.4×100%$869k$4.4M+32%
upve / bribes2.0×1.0×100%$313k$3.9M−68%
ChainflipBuyback + burn5.4×5.4×100%$520k$34.4M+59%
Aerove / bribes8.7×4.0×96%$7.4M$372.0M−6%
PancakeSwapBuyback + burn19.5×12.8×65%$2.4M$563.6M−29%
RaydiumBuyback27.1×16.8×62%$1.3M$425.4M−65%
Curve Financeve / bribes29.3×11.1×94%$2.6M$374.4M+44%
UniswapleaderBuyback + burn37.3×37.3×100%$8.2M$3.71B−20%
Aquarius Stellarthis tokenve / bribes42.2×15.5×100%$58k$10.8M−52%
OrcaBuyback47.8×7.9×16%$130k$75.6M−36%
AsterBuyback + burn50.2×∞—$2.8M$1.69B—
MeteoraDistribution180×5.2×18%$458k$161.9M−60%
Score build-up22 of 100

Total score = 35% valuation + 25% momentum + 20% divergence + 20% quality − penalties, clamped to 0–100. Every number here can be recomputed from the figures on this page.

22of 100#44▼1top 59%
Valuation 13.8Momentum 9.5Divergence 0.0Quality 14.1penalties −15= 22.4
Valuation35%
39Valuation 39.3: HR half 24.6 (multiple 42.20×; 100 at ≤3×, 0 at ≥100×, log scale), revenue half 54.0 (revenue peer value 1.09×; 0 at ≤0.33×, 50 at 1×, 100 at ≥3×, log scale).Average of two halves. HR half: linear in log(multiple), 100 at ≤ 3×, 0 at ≥ 100×, 0 without effective HR. Revenue half: linear in log(revenue peer value), 0 at ≤ 0.33×, 50 at 1×, 100 at ≥ 3×; neutral 50 when the peer group falls back to the universe.
Momentum25%capped
3838 before the peak capMomentum 38.2: m = 0.5·g7 −0.182 + 0.3·(ln(day jump 1.26) clamped ±1.5 = 0.234) + 0.2·g30 −0.725 = −0.166; 0 at ≤−0.7, 50 at 0, 100 at ≥1.1.m = 0.5·g7 + 0.3·ln(day jump, clamped ±1.5) + 0.2·g30; 0 at m ≤ −0.7, 50 at 0, 100 at ≥ 1.1. Neutral 50 when g7 or g30 is missing; a missing day jump counts as 0.
Divergence20%capped
0Divergence 0.0: d = g30 − p30 = 0.000; 0 at ≤0, 100 at ≥1.5.d = max(0, g30 − p30) when g30 > 0; 0 at d ≤ 0, 100 at d ≥ 1.5, linear.
Quality20%
70Quality 70.4: mean of days HR>0 100% → 100.0 (0 at ≤30%, 100 at ≥90%), largest day 7% of HR30 → 100.0 (0 at ≥60%, 100 at ≤15%), distance to peak 0.32 → 11.1 (0 at ≤0.25, 100 at ≥0.9).Average of: share of days with HR > 0 (0 at ≤ 30%, 100 at ≥ 90%), 1 − largest day ÷ HR30 (0 at ≥ 60%, 100 at ≤ 15%) and distance to peak (0 at ≤ 0.25, 100 at ≥ 0.9).
  • Penalty −5 (dilution_above_2): dilution ratio 2.23 above 2.
  • Penalty −10 (low_liquidity): DEX liquidity unknown below $250k and 24h volume $125k below $1.00M.

HR7 is below 50% of its 90-day peak: momentum and divergence are capped at 50. This is not a penalty; the distance already counts in quality.

Penalties−15

−5Dilution ratio above 2dilution ratio 2.23 above 2
−10Liquidity below $250k (dex) or 24h volume below $1M (cex)DEX liquidity unknown below $250k and 24h volume $125k below $1.00M

8 rules not applied, 3 wait for research data.

Where the numbers come from
Revenue source
1 active child
DefiLlama adapter per child
Price and market cap
defillama / defillama
latest fetch
Scored on
November 11, 2026
as-of date of the last compute run
On-chain verified
not yet
not checked yet
Protocols behind this token1 at DefiLlama

Per protocol: DefiLlama's methodology text, the distribution type we read from it and the sentence that decided it. The token takes the type of the protocol that returns the most to holders.

  • Aquarius Stellar
    Dexs · Stellar
    type ve-distribution · source label
    “External Bribes Revenue: External bribes rewards distributed to AQUA holders”

    The protocol's 50% share of swap fees plus external bribes, all distributed to AQUA holders who voted for the markets where they were collected.

    External Bribes Revenue
    External bribes rewards distributed to AQUA holders
    Token Swap Fees To Holders
    Amount of swap fees are shared to AQUA holders
    adapter on GitHub ↗