Buyback Radar

Venus XVS

Sell signal activeRank#26in Low payout▼2Score33

Sell signal since Nov 5. no variant; REV ratio 2.8×, HR ratio 2.0×. Still open: payout at 17% of its 90-day peak. See Signals.

Lending, BSC, Ethereum, opBNB +5, 192 days of data

Low payout: less than $100k to holders in 30 days, or payouts on fewer than 8 of the 30 days (for a token that pays in cycles of a week or longer: more than one of the payouts its cycle predicts missed); ranked within this group

Active signals 1

  • Sell signalsince Nov 5

    Revenue over 30 days $193k, 27% of the 30 days before ($710k).

    Gradual decline over 30 days: revenue this week $93k, 2.8× the week before, paid to holders 2.0× the week before. Still open: payout at 17% of its 90-day peak.

Market cap

$44.3M

price $2.59 · 7d −10.6% · 30d −14.6%

FDV $77.1M (1.7× market cap)

source defillama

Counted per year

$382k

holders revenue of the last 30 days, $63k, × 365 ÷ 30, × type factor 0.5 (payouts count 50%)

Distributionbuyback share 33%

Pays out 1.7% of its market cap a year, using 33¢ of every $1 it earns.

Not a buyback: counts for 50% in the multiple (type factor 0.5), so the denominator is $382k instead of $763k.

Multiple

116×

peer median 37.2× (Lending, 5 tokens), against 116× here

Run-rate

69.7×

last 7 days $24k × 52 × 0.5 (type factor) = $636k a year

last week's payout to holders ran 1.7× the 30-day pace: the payout is speeding up

What we checked

  1. Valuation

    Multiple 116× (type factor 0.5: payouts count 50%), 3.1× more expensive than its Lending peers (median 37.2×, 5 tokens). The group's largest earner Sky trades at 26.7×: 4.3× dearer per dollar returned to holders. On total revenue: 18.9×, in line with the revenue peer median.

  2. Distribution

    Distribution: Revenue is paid out to stakers or holders (often in another asset); no buy pressure on the token. Holders got $63k of $193k revenue in 30 days → buyback share 33%. DefiLlama: “Liquidation Fees: 20% XVS Vault rewards share of ProtocolShareReserve liquidation income.”

  3. Sustainability

    Holders were paid on 30 of 30 days (100%); largest single day 23% of the month's holders revenue; paid to holders this week: 17% of the best week in 90 days (more than half below peak). Revenue +177% over 7 days and −73% over 30 days, price −15% over 30 days.

What this does not tell you

The figures come from DefiLlama's adapter for each child protocol. Only a few tokens have an on-chain check (see How the buyback really works); for the rest, whether the tokens were really bought, burned or parked in a treasury wallet is not checked here. Unlocks count where DefiLlama or our research has a vesting schedule; team discretion and liquidity depth only once researched.

Flags

  • Sell signalactive since Nov 5; no variant; REV ratio 2.8×, HR ratio 2.0×. Still open: payout at 17% of its 90-day peak. See Signals
  • Payout >50% below peakthis week's holders revenue is 17% of its best week in the last 90 days ($141k)
  • Data issue: chain mapping missingData issue (chain mapping missing): warning, scores are computed as usual

How the buyback really works

Not researched yet. Everything above comes from DefiLlama and market data only.

Holders revenue / revenue (30d)
$63k / $193k
last 30 closed days
To holders
Pays out 1.7% of its market cap a year
FDV / dilution
$77.1M / 1.7×
FDV ÷ market cap
Price 7d / 30d
−10.6% / −14.6%
Revenue growth 7d / 30d
+177% / −73%
versus the period before
Divergence
0.00
revenue growth minus price growth, 30d
DEX liquidity
$793k
DexScreener, representative pools
24h volume
$1.4M
all markets, CoinGecko
Unlocks 30d
—
DefiLlama's schedule does not cover the next 30 days while tokens are still locked
Revenue multiple
18.9×
market cap ÷ revenue per year
Fee multiple
3.5×
market cap ÷ fees per year
Distance to peak
17%
this week ÷ best week of 90 days
Data since
May 4
first day with holders revenue

Holders revenue and price

Holders revenue per day7-day averagePrice (right axis)▲ ▼ signal days (history below)

Multiple over time

today 116× (scored) · peer median 37.2×

Market cap at close ÷ (holders revenue of the previous 30 days × 365 ÷ 30), with holders revenue capped at revenue and × the type factor: the same effective multiple as the peer median. Values above 100× are drawn at the top. Bands as on the meter; dashed line = peer median today.

Signal history

Signal history of this token: date, type, price at the signal, price after 7 and 30 days, change since the signal and the outcome
DateSignalPrice thenAfter 7dAfter 30dSinceOutcome
November 6, 2026Sell signalactive$2.77——−6%30-day check: day 6
October 19, 2026Distribution cutclosed Nov 9: the condition no longer holds$2.87−6%—−10%not counted
October 31, 2026Multiple below medianvoided Nov 1: rule change of 1 Nov 2026: it would not open under the current rules$2.84−2%—−9%not counted

Versus peers

Lending (merged group) · 5 tokens · median multiple 37.2× · Sky is valued 30.2× higher. Per dollar that counts for holders, Venus is 4.3× dearer.

Main-ranking peers only. Multiples count holders revenue capped at revenue, × the type factor (buyback 1 · buyback + burn 1 · burn 0.75 · mixed 0.75 · distribution 0.5 · unclear 0.5 · ve-distribution 0.25).

This token against its main-ranking peers: multiple, revenue multiple, buyback share, holders revenue, market cap and revenue growth
TokenDistributionMultipleRevenue multipleBuyback shareTo holders 30dMarket capRev. growth 30d
SparkBuyback13.0×3.7×29%$340k$53.8M+133%
SkyleaderMixed26.7×8.4×42%$5.5M$1.34B−3%
Maple FinanceBuyback37.2×7.4×20%$326k$147.5M+14%
Venusthis tokenDistribution116×18.9×33%$63k$44.3M−73%
LiquityDistribution1.2k×8.2×80%$128k$15.8M+409%
Score build-up33 of 100

Total score = 35% valuation + 25% momentum + 20% divergence + 20% quality − penalties, clamped to 0–100. Every number here can be recomputed from the figures on this page.

33of 100#26▼2top 34%
Valuation 10.4Momentum 10.7Divergence 0.0Quality 12.2= 33.2
Valuation35%
30Valuation 29.6: HR half 0.0 (multiple 116.15×; 100 at ≤3×, 0 at ≥100×, log scale), revenue half 59.2 (revenue peer value 1.22×; 0 at ≤0.33×, 50 at 1×, 100 at ≥3×, log scale).Average of two halves. HR half: linear in log(multiple), 100 at ≤ 3×, 0 at ≥ 100×, 0 without effective HR. Revenue half: linear in log(revenue peer value), 0 at ≤ 0.33×, 50 at 1×, 100 at ≥ 3×; neutral 50 when the peer group falls back to the universe.
Momentum25%capped
4343 before the peak capMomentum 42.9: m = 0.5·g7 1.021 + 0.3·(ln(day jump 0.31) clamped ±1.5 = −1.165) + 0.2·g30 −1.303 = −0.100; 0 at ≤−0.7, 50 at 0, 100 at ≥1.1.m = 0.5·g7 + 0.3·ln(day jump, clamped ±1.5) + 0.2·g30; 0 at m ≤ −0.7, 50 at 0, 100 at ≥ 1.1. Neutral 50 when g7 or g30 is missing; a missing day jump counts as 0.
Divergence20%capped
0Divergence 0.0: d = g30 − p30 = 0.000; 0 at ≤0, 100 at ≥1.5.d = max(0, g30 − p30) when g30 > 0; 0 at d ≤ 0, 100 at d ≥ 1.5, linear.
Quality20%
61Quality 60.9: mean of days HR>0 100% → 100.0 (0 at ≤30%, 100 at ≥90%), largest day 23% of HR30 → 82.6 (0 at ≥60%, 100 at ≤15%), distance to peak 0.17 → 0.0 (0 at ≤0.25, 100 at ≥0.9).Average of: share of days with HR > 0 (0 at ≤ 30%, 100 at ≥ 90%), 1 − largest day ÷ HR30 (0 at ≥ 60%, 100 at ≤ 15%) and distance to peak (0 at ≤ 0.25, 100 at ≥ 0.9).

HR7 is below 50% of its 90-day peak: momentum and divergence are capped at 50. This is not a penalty; the distance already counts in quality.

Penaltiesnone

No penalty applies — 10 rules checked, 3 wait for research data

Where the numbers come from
Revenue source
2 active children
DefiLlama adapter per child
Price and market cap
defillama / defillama
latest fetch
Scored on
November 11, 2026
as-of date of the last compute run
On-chain verified
not yet
not checked yet
Protocols behind this token2 at DefiLlama

Per protocol: DefiLlama's methodology text, the distribution type we read from it and the sentence that decided it. The token takes the type of the protocol that returns the most to holders.

  • Venus Core Pool
    Lending · BSC, Ethereum, opBNB, Arbitrum, ZKsync Era, Base, OP Mainnet, Unichain
    type distribution · source label
    “Liquidation Fees: 20% XVS Vault rewards share of ProtocolShareReserve liquidation income.”

    40% of borrow interest revenue, plus the XVS Vault rewards share of ProtocolShareReserve liquidation income.

    Borrow Interest
    40% of borrow interest revenue.
    Liquidation Fees
    20% XVS Vault rewards share of ProtocolShareReserve liquidation income.
    adapter on GitHub ↗
  • Venus Flux
    Lending · BSC
    type unclear · source none

    No methodology text at DefiLlama.

    adapter on GitHub ↗